Thai business group cuts 2026 GDP growth forecast to 1.2%-1.6%

Thai business group cuts 2026 GDP growth forecast to 1.2%-1.6%

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Thai business group cuts 2026 GDP growth forecast to 1.2%-1.6%

Thailand's ​economy is expected to ‌grow by 1.2% to 1.6% this year, a leading business group said on Wednesday, cutting its outlook from ​an ⁠earlier growth forecast of 1.6% to 2.0%.

The Joint Standing Committee on Commerce, Industry ‌and Banking (JSCCIB) maintained its forecast for exports, a key driver of Thai growth, saying they were expected ⁠to fall by 0.5% to 1.5%.

The Thai economy has been hurt by rising oil prices, the group said in a statement.

Foreign tourist ​arrivals could drop by one million over the next three months, it ​said.

The ‌group's inflation forecast for this year has been adjusted up to 2.0% ​to ⁠3.0%, from 0.2% to 0.7% previously.

Southeast Asia's second-largest ⁠economy, which has lagged regional peers since the coronavirus 2019 (Covid-19) pandemic, expanded 2.4% last year, with exports up 12.9%.

The government ⁠is planning an oil tax ​cut, a borrowing guarantee for the oil subsidy fund and other support measures to mitigate the impact of ‌rising oil ⁠prices.

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