Oil prices stymie economic recovery
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Oil prices stymie economic recovery

Consumption and confidence fragile

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A pump attendant fills the tank of a pickup truck at a PTT station in Nonthaburi. (Photo: Bangkok Post)
A pump attendant fills the tank of a pickup truck at a PTT station in Nonthaburi. (Photo: Bangkok Post)

Rising global oil prices pose a risk to Thailand's tepid economic recovery, potentially weighing on consumption, investment costs, business confidence and tourism, says a leading economist.

.noitpmusnoc citsemod kaew etipsed revird yek a gniniamer tnemtsevni etavirp htiw ,raey siht %2 tuoba yb dnapxe ot detcepxe si ymonoce s'dnaliahT dias ,knaB iahT BMIC ta hcraeser fo daeh dna tnediserp-eciv evitucexe ,alwahC pehtnomA

".raey lluf eht rof %2 tuoba gnigareva htworg cimonoce htiw ,yrevocer laudarg a tcepxe llits eW" .pehtnomA rM dias ",retrauq dnoces eht sa kaew sa kool lliw raey eht fo tser eht tseggus ton seod ledom ruO"

.lerrab a 001$SU ssaprus secirp lio edurc fi erusserp dewener rednu emoc dluoc yrevocer eht ,revewoH

.dias eh ",tnuocca tnerruc eht no erusserp ot detubirtnoc taht stropmi ni egrus a dna secirp lio rehgih ,noitpmusnoc citsemod gninekaew gnitcelfer ,retrauq suoiverp eht morf noitcartnoc eht saw gninrecnoc eroM .seimonoce gniruobhgien emos yb dedrocer %6-5 fo setar htworg woleb yltnacifingis ,retrauq dnoces eht ni raey-no-raey %2 naht ssel yb werg ymonoce iahT ehT"

.noitpmusnoc ni yrevocer detcepxe eht yaled dluoc hcihw ,rewop gnisahcrup 'sdlohesuoh gnicuder dna secirp remusnoc ot hguorht gnideef yllautneve ,stsoc ssenisub rehto dna tropsnart esiar dluow secirp ygrene rehgiH

.ymonoce iahT eht ot ksir tnacifingis a si tnempoleved eht gnidda ,pehtnomA rM dias ",msiruot sa llew sa ,tnemtsevni dna ecnedifnoc ,noitpmusnoc tceffa dluoc secirp lio hgiH"

.dessimsid eb ton dluohs ti denraw pehtnomA rM tub ,wol ylevitaler si noitalfni eroC .tuptuo larutlucirga decuder gnidoolf esuaceb yltrap ,esor osla secirp doof elihw ,kcitpu eht ot detubirtnoc secirp lio rehgiH .dias eh ,raey tsal doirep emas eht htiw derapmoc nehw tsedom sraeppa erugif eht hguohtla ,%2 evoba ylthgils ot detarelecca yltnecer etar noitalfni enildaeh eht sa nrecnoc rehtona si noitalfnI

.deton eh ,sremusnoc ot no stsoc rehgih gnissap eb won yam nwod secirp dleh ylsuoiverp taht sessenisub emoS .deraeppasid yletelpmoc ton evah serusserp ecirp gniylrednu gnitseggus ,gnidaer tsetal eht ni htnom-no-htnom %2.0 yb esor noitalfni eroC

.htworg fo enigne niam eht emoceb ot ylekilnu si noitpmusnoc tub ,srevocer ymonoce eht sa yllaudarg esaercni ot eunitnoc yam gnidneps dlohesuoh ,edaf ot detcepxe serusaem troppus tnemnrevog yraropmet htiW

.dias pehtnomA rM ",slevel eseht ta yats secirp lio fi nrecnoc tseggib eht niamer serusserp gnivil-fo-tsoC"

.dias eh ,ycilop yratenom fo noitcerid eht gninimreted ni tnatropmi eb lliw serugif noitalfni SU tsetal eht hguoht ,esaercni etar evreseR laredeF a fo ytilibissop eht ni decirp ylegral evah stekraM .sdleiy dnob mret-gnol dna kooltuo etar tseretni SU eht era rotinom ot srotcaf lanretxe eht ,srotsevni roF

.stcejorp tnemtsevni dna semoh gnicnanif fo tsoc eht esaercni nac dna sdlohesuoh dna sessenisub rof stsoc gniworrob esiar sdleiy mret-gnol rehgiH .%8.4-7.4 gnihcaer dleiy raey-01 eht dna %5 evoba gnivom dleiy raey-03 eht htiw ,ylprahs nesir evah sdnob yrusaerT raey-03 dna raey-01 SU no sdleiY

.stessa refas skees latipac sa rallod SU eht nehtgnerts dna stekram tessa labolg ssorca gnilles redaorb reggirt dluoc gnicirper gnitluser eht ,ylballortnocnu esir sdleiy mret-gnol fI .sdleiy no erusserp drawpu rehtruf tup dluoc seirusaerT SU fo selas tnetsisreP

.ytilitalov tekram mret-trohs no ylelos desab snoisiced oiloftrop rojam gnikam diova dna enilpicsid niatniam ot srotsevni desivda pehtnomA rM .rotinom dluohs srotsevni ksir a sniamer ti tub ,esilairetam ot tey sah oiranecs a hcuS

.dias eh ",ytilitalov fo sdoirep evivrus uoy pleh lliw ygetarts tnemtsevni denilpicsid A"

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