Scenarios galore
Re: "Rigging claim hits Senate poll", (BP, June 4 ).
Scenario artists are bubbling over at the endless possibilities for political turmoil. The scenarios and their permutations would be fascinating were it not for the fact that nothing less than the country's future is at stake.
What if the anti-coup broadside from Pheu Thai marking the 10th anniversary of the 2014 coup was just an opening gambit? Already since the Section 112 charge was announced, a Pheu Thai MP working on the amnesty bill has intimated that lese majeste suspects will be included, a 180-degree shift in Pheu Thai's stance and unacceptable to all the other coalition partners.
Thaksin could escape any significant punishment from the Section 112 charge and promise to be a good boy.
Prime Minister Srettha could be found guilty and replaced by the Big Boss' daughter. Very upsetting for the powers-that-be.
Thaksin could flee a guilty verdict, but through a combination of coercion and financial inducements, Pheu Thai is persuaded to stay in the coalition.
Another Section 112 guilty verdict sees the Move Forward Party (MFP) dissolved, drawing the most important components of the powers-that-be ever deeper into a perfect storm.
Thaksin triggers his nuclear option after fleeing the country, and withdraws Pheu Thai from the coalition. Recognising there is no possibility of reconciliation with the powers-that-be, Thaksin attempts to forge a new coalition with the MFP by submitting to all MFP's policies, including reform of the military and Section 112.
One of the many rearguard actions of the powers-that-be to maintain control succeeds. The Senate "election" fiasco results in the current handpicked Senate remaining in office, indefinitely.
If I were a voice in the ear of the powers-that-be, I might suggest it's time to allow change, quickly and peacefully, otherwise the situation might easily spiral out of their control.