More than deflation, tariffs
Re: "Can China fight deflation AND tariffs?" (World, April 19).
Despite China's growing economic footprint and impressive technological advances, the country continues to grapple with deep structural vulnerabilities. Persistent deflationary pressures remain a major concern, with the consumer price index declining by 0.8% year-on-year.
The property sector has been distressed, with new housing prices falling by 4.5% over the past year. Moreover, demographic challenges are worsening, as the nationwide birth rate dwindles to 6.7 per 1,000 people and urban youth unemployment rate climbs to 16.5%.
Socioeconomic imbalances further complicate the picture. According to the National Bureau of Statistics of China, the per capita disposable income of urban households is more than three times higher than that of rural households.
Chinese financial system vulnerabilities weigh heavily on the country's long-term prospects. The equity market remains volatile, dominated by speculative domestic retail investors who account for 80% of trading volume.
This undermines its role as a vehicle for long-term wealth management for households and efficient corporate capital allocation. Meanwhile, although China's onshore RMB bond market has surpassed $US21 trillion in size in equivalence, it remains heavily skewed towards public-sector issuances, dwarfing a thin and illiquid corporate bond segment.
Structural deficiencies -- including inadequate credit risk pricing, weak governance, and accountability challenges -- deter foreign investor participation. In the absence of deep and well-functioning capital markets, Chinese banks continue to play an outsized financing role for the broader economy, raising systemic risk if their balance sheets are not properly managed.
Unless China's leadership confronts these entrenched structural issues through policy reforms, its growth risks being stalled. Bold and structural reforms such as easing household registration restrictions to promote labour mobility, overhauling pension systems, and deepening capital market development can help boost China's economic development.
Ninja Kun