Nida poll: Interior Ministry seen facing toughest censure grilling
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Nida poll: Interior Ministry seen facing toughest censure grilling

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The censure debate is scheduled to last three days, Oct 27-29, with the vote on Oct 30. (Bangkok Post file photo)
The censure debate is scheduled to last three days, Oct 27-29, with the vote on Oct 30. (Bangkok Post file photo)

The Interior Ministry is expected to face the toughest scrutiny in the coming no-confidence debate, according to a Nida Poll survey, with 45% of the respondents believing the opposition has solid evidence against the 18 targeted cabinet ministers.

The National Institute of Development Administration (Nida) conducted the nationwide survey from Oct 12-14, ahead of the parliamentary censure debate scheduled for Oct 27-30.

Asked which issues were likely to put the government under the greatest pressure, 34.27% cited alleged failures and a lack of competence in tackling economic problems.

This was followed by the Senate election collusion case, cited by 26.26%, the cost-of-living crisis (25.88%), corruption (23.97%) and alleged irregularities in local government recruitment examinations (22.44%).

Meanwhile, 28.93% said the government would come under heavy pressure on all issues raised during the debate. The Interior Ministry topped the list of ministries expected to face the toughest grilling, cited by 38.78% of respondents.

It was followed by the Prime Minister's Office, including deputy prime ministers and ministers attached to the office, at 21.37%; the Commerce Ministry 18.63%; the Finance Ministry 16.26%; and the Justice Ministry 10.46%.

A further 23.05% believed all ministries targeted in the debate would face equally tough scrutiny.

On the strength of the opposition's case, 45.65% believed it would present solid evidence against all 18 ministers, while 41.22% thought the evidence would be convincing in only some cases.

Another 11.76% believed the opposition did not have substantial evidence to support its case.

Asked how MPs from the Klatham Party would vote, 30.38% expected them to support all 18 ministers, while 22.75% predicted they would abstain. Another 18.32% expected Klatham MPs to back only some of the ministers.

Despite the anticipated political confrontation, most respondents did not expect the debate to bring major changes to the government. Some 40.84% said they expected "nothing to change" after the debate, while 26.34% predicted a cabinet reshuffle. Another 19.39% believed the debate could lead to a House dissolution and a fresh election, while 9.69% expected a change in the governing coalition.

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